Grand Princess Maria Pavlovna by Vladimir Borovikovsky (Pavlovsk Palace - Pavlovsk Russia)
From Wikimedia.
There are two reasons to believe this antedates the Dawe portrait - first it may have been done while still in Russia in 1804 and second her waistline and sleeves.
Keywords: Borovikovsky, Maria Pavlovna (1786-1859), Grand Princess, Grand Duchess, Romanov family, Wettin family, Russian, curly coiffure, hair jewelry, scoop neckline, long tight sleeves, waist band, bows, Empire waistline, close skirt, necklace, jeweled neckline, jeweled sleeves, wrap

